Election Watch : NA-246 / Karachi – VIII

http://karachi.metblogs.com/archives/images/2008/02/na-246-thumb.jpgElection Watch Series next up is NA-246 Karachi VIII. We have previously covered NA-239, NA-240, NA-241, NA-242, NA-243, NA-244 & NA-245

The constituency NA-246 consists of Federal B Area, Liaqatabad, Moosa Colony, Bhangoria Goth, and Gulshan-i-Shamim, Al-Azam Square, Block 1 Sharifabad, Gharibabad, Ishaqabad and Bundhani Colony, F.C. Area, Punjabi Colony, Apsara Apartment, Al-Karam Square, Gharibabad, A-1 Cottages and Yaseenabad, Old Gharibabad &; Sikandara

According to the previous delimitation of the city, the areas which at present constitute NA-246 previously came under NA-187 and NA-188. From NA-187 Dr Imran Farooq has historically won this seat with an overwhelming majority in the elections of 1988 (93,499 votes) and 1990 (111,340 votes). When in 1993 the Muttahida boycotted the PML-N won the seat, securing 9,863 votes only. But in the 1997 elections, Dr Imran Farooq was in hiding and his father took part in the elections bagging 62,621 votes.

When looking at the other constituency of NA-188 In 1988 Syed Mohammad Aslam of the Muttahida set records in this constituency — first in the 1988 elections by bagging 131,012 votes and second in the 1990 elections by obtaining 142,591 votes. In 1993 the Muttahida had boycotted the elections. As a result, Muzaffar Ahmed Hashmi won the seat securing 12,235 votes. Finally in 1997 general elections, Hassan Masna Alvi of the Muttahida won the seat in NA-188 bagging 105,323 votes.

Finally in 2002 when both the NA-187 & NA-188 were merged to form NA-246, Haji Aziz Ullah from MQM won this seat with around 54,000 votes

Take the poll

Free Poll by Blog Flux2008 Elections: Total number of Registered Voters 310,045 (165,073 Male & 144,972 Female). The two candidates fighting it out are:

  1. Sufiyan Yousab (MQM)
  2. Sohail Ansari (PPP)

2002 Elections: In the 2002 elections there were 261,736 Registered Voters in NA-245 of which 37.4% polled that day (97,965). The candidates were

  1. Haji Aziz Ullah MQM) – 53134
  2. Rashid Naseem (MMA) – 32879
  3. Altaf Hussain Qadri (Sunni Tehreek) – 3840
  4. Khalid Ali Shanshah (PPPP) – 3075
  5. Naisra Athar (PML-Q) – 2322

Prediction: MQM it is yet again, this is a strong hold of MQM and we should expect a rise in the numbers overtaking the 20,000 lead it had with MMA. Not to the tune of the glory days of Imran Farooq but somewhere half way would do. My guesstimate rises another notch for MQM at 7-1 for the seats up till now in Karachi, with only NA-239 going towards PPP. Hence the predicted winner should be Sufiyan Yousab of MQM

25 Comments so far

  1. Jamal Shamsi (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 3:07 pm

    Teetho – Bas kardo,

    I don see many people writing to election topix.

    Check out for something new to keep us hooked here.


  2. Shahid Alam (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 3:53 pm

    I think this review is worth a second look – observe the declining MQM support…

    It pains many MQM supporters [even here] to be confronted with the truth. the fallacy they live in ‘MQM is far too popular in Karachi’ – evidence shows some serious damage over the years. Starting from the romantic years of 1988. To now a bare survivable margin. 20,000 is not much to have washed away after may 12th. Maybe a little damage control since May might have salvaged their egos, but had if JI been in the fray this time around we would have seen a nail biting battle [conditional to free and fair polls]

    It was all the more important for MQM leaders to stay in power ‘& within the administration’ to ensure a face saving victory. or suffer a heavy loss… they choose to be Musharraf’s lapdog aka bitch

    I fully believe that in a free and fair elections MQM was up to loosing a few more seats

    I pity the handful of supporters who are still grasping for the last breath – :) could I say their days are numbered :) I wish it were so easy to announce that but in these elections they will wake up on Feb 19th announcing a landslide victory :) yeah without a serious opposition you can have all the nuts and crackers and enjoy the party, but maybe next time, might see an acidic showdown


  3. Mansoor Ali khan (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 4:09 pm

    I am confused which party should i vote every one is saying every one is wrong, don’t know who to believe :) I have seen Naimatullah working good i liked him voted him in city elections in 2005 he lost, Now i see Mustafa Kamal working okay should i vote the party to whom he belong ? .


  4. SON OF THE SOIL (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 4:13 pm

    hi shahid aslam I think that this is what u people call democracy that accepting the decision of majority adn when majority people are voting for MQM than whats the problem with you , simply accept it that MQM is the most FAVOURITE political party of karachi and if you dont accept it than simple bring some one who can stand against MQM in election rather than crying over 12 may.


  5. Shahid Alam (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 4:48 pm

    Sonny boy. It hurts doesnt it ! Yeah its a fact but the ‘MOST FAVORITE’ party is suffering in popularity. I might have agreed to the MOST favorite statement back in 1990 when Imran bhai rocked in a whopping 1,11,000 votes (wow) while I am sure the next closest candidate would have had his zamant zabt. Then it was MOST favorite. Now 2002 a lead of 20K *sniff – I know it hurts*. RUN FOR THE HILLS – MQM is barely limping on fragile support.

    Mind you I am not challenging the democratic process, but I have a point of view.


  6. Mansoor Ali (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 5:04 pm

    Keep on posting teeth its good too see updates about the Election , and congrats for working hard. cheers.


  7. Sam (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 5:36 pm

    congrats on your work TM


  8. IRFAN (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 7:30 pm

    G. A ALTAF HUSSAIN
    G. A MUTTAHIDA


  9. FAS (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 8:25 pm

    @ SHAHID ALAM

    Just keep watching and MQM will sweep the elections in Karachi. Restless nights ahead for you my dear.

    You just be happy by what ever you think is right. It doesn’t make any differance. MQM is and will remain the most popular party in this City. Jalne Wale ka Mon Kala


  10. FAS (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 8:25 pm

    @ SHAHID ALAM

    Just keep watching and MQM will sweep the elections in Karachi. Restless nights ahead for you my dear.

    You just be happy by what ever you think is right. It doesn’t make any differance. MQM is and will remain the most popular party in this City. Jalne Wale ka Mon Kala


  11. karachi4eva (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 8:36 pm

    MQM FOR EVER!!
    G.A MAHAJIR!!


  12. d0ct0r (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 10:10 pm

    ‘MOST FAVORITE’ party hmm …. 15.6 % of karachiites voted for MQM while whopping 84.4% of eligible karachiites voters DID NOT voted for MQM in 2002 elections

    these stats do speak volumes,don’t they?


  13. FAS (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 11:23 pm

    DOG TOR

    Jalne Wale Ka Mon Kala

    MQM agaee or chah Gayee

    You will see on 18 Feb


  14. Reality_check (unregistered) on February 12th, 2008 @ 11:57 pm

    SHAHID ALAM you are so off the mark living on a distant island away from reality. When MQM boycotted the Municipal elections what were the Jamatee vote counts? few thousands and few hundreds, you will see the difference now, just wait a few more days. One of the reasons Jamatees are out of the fray is, because they knew they didn’t stand a chance, it would have been a no-contest rather than a nail biting one, unless you have the habit.

    Well you got me talking about what would have been and what could have been, those who are boycotting should remain aloof from this process, there is no use wasting time evaluating hypothetical scenarios. I don’t want to dwell in the past and elaborate the glorious achievements of Jamat-e-Islami and others in the sixty years history of this country. It’s the present that counts, and MQM will demonstrate that it has got more support than ever.

    As for the future, nobody can take this cities mandate for granted, any body who doesn’t deliver will suffer the same fate as Jamaat-e-Islami in the 80’s, when people pull the rug from under their feet.


  15. d0ct0r (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 12:07 am

    FAS as i said earlier i won’t be surprised if MQM sweeps all 20 seats from khi getting 100% of the votes, it obviously got undue favors by dictator,convicted murderer governor is from MQM(which other governor in ANY province of Pakistan is from any political party?),favorable caretaker govt is in place.. and Altaf bai is loaded with Arms and cash(his mega plunderers are working hard day and night and "earning" loads of money, they don’t have to survive on just Batha(extortion) money alone…


  16. Reality_check (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 12:30 am

    So DOCTOR it is a bad thing that the Governor is from a political party? Should he be a military man? No matter how you malign he has done a good job and protected the interests of the province and the city. If the MQM guys are as bad as you say and the rest are pure angels? then how come they will get a heavy mandate?
    What!, because Mush is supporting them. What can Mush do on the streets? By the way, Mush also gave 22 billion rupees to Naimatullah despite MQM’s opposition, so he gave the city its due whether it be JI or MQM, Its up to the political parties to participate and win elections. Nobody could force the people to vote on gun point, not even a Wadera in a remote village, now even he has to deliver on his promises. People are not so dumb as you take them to be.


  17. Azeem (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 12:42 am

    People against MQM are now saying MQM is contesting with out opposition then i ask then who ask MQM opponents not to contest?
    The truth is what MQM and City Gov has done they are running and facing their faces from sure defeat.
    MQM will be more stronger then 1988 this time and time will tell all of you .

    GA ALTAF HUSSAIN


  18. BozoBhi (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 12:51 am

    SHAHID ALAM,

    I agree with you. Mush did give MQM a second life.

    Now instead of
    ‘hamain manzil nahee rahumaa chahiey’

    they are saying
    ‘hamain rahnumaa nahee roads aur bridges chahien’

    I think its a good thing, there always should be competition. If there were no jamateez, like Naimatullah, there wouldn’t have been any competition.

    I think all the old leaders should now rest in peace.

    Mustafa kamal is good, he should takeover MQM leadership.

    and similarly QAZI and others at JI should leave their leadership and let the younger ones take the leadership.

    I don’t know if I can say the same thing about PPP. Other than Aitzaz ahsan, I don’t see any hope from that side, same goes for PMLz.


  19. khanabadosh (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 7:19 am

    @Reality_Check:

    What happens when MQM sweeps Karachi but both the provincial as well as federal govts are adversarial?

    Curtailed funding means curtailed projects, no? Or do they have some other magic up their sleeve?


  20. Manoor Ali Khan (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 11:18 am

    Naimatullah Saab Rocked,
    Mustafa Kamal is rocking harder than him , 2 brilliant people Karachi’s CDGK have seen.

    I would rather not go in talking about the details of there parties they belong to. cheers everyone


  21. d0ct0r (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 2:06 pm

    Reality…
    "done a good job and protected….." i have already been talk off n on about the imported convicted governor’s "hard work" so won’t touch that issue atm…

    let me repeat what i have said earlier, do you see any other political party’s governor? Q League’s? ANP’s? MMA’s? Nleague’s? or even PPP’s(which was the largest vote getter from all over pakistan and sindh, neither did it got its PM,govenor nor CM), Mush did a BIG favour to MQM by installing its imported convicted governor, Musharraf’s relation with MQM is no hidden secret,we all have seen when on 12 may 2007 he made those famous remarks " you’ve seen our power on streets of Karachi " while his mates from MQM butchered 50+ innocent karachiites … although Mush often gets embarrassed at being associated with MQM and denies that he is mureed(devotee) of Pir of London Town,but the fact remains that he is one,..Mush was fascinated by Ghunda(gangster) type characters ever since his childhood days, in his own words he was himself a dreaded Nazimabadi Ghunda(*Dadageer*),so its no surprise that he has a soft corner for this mafia type terrorist organisation

    as for the "heavy mandate" by mqm, 15.6 % of votes from eligible karachiite voters makes it heavy ?

    (* Pg 27 "Mush’s In the line of fire")


  22. ali (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 3:24 pm

    hum tu samjhe tha k sirf altaaf bhai k gunha ha ub pata chala k musaraf ki bhi kuch shararat shamil ga Dogtor ki paidish main.dogtor its not your problem to come in this world this iz the fault of poor quality "Saathi"


  23. Reality_check (unregistered) on February 13th, 2008 @ 8:22 pm

    KHANABADOSH that’s the point of having elections / democracy, sooner or later these parties will learn to live and accept each other, adversarial governments doesn’t mean that the country be brought to a standstill, otherwise argument for autocracy and dictatorship will be a winner. For me as long as the parties are not hell bent upon enforcing some screwed up ideals they will find a way to co-exist. Look at the confrontations of the past neither PPP, MQM nor PML drew any benefit from that. If they still don’t get it then you can say goodbye to democracy for another ten years.

    DOCTOR your line of reasoning and brandishing will lead to another endless discussion. Mush was not a FAN of MQM before/after 2002 elections, infact he was all for Imran Khan and he also supported JI Naimatullah. When the screwed up ideologs went after him (assassination attempts) plus went on a bombing spree in Karachi, it was only then it was realized that a major clean-up of this Al-qaeda heaven was required and MQM was a natural ally and the job was done and certain big fish were caught. The upside of it was that this time around MQM fielded new faces as Ministers, who were very effective and impressed everybody and after Mustafa Kamal and his team of Nazims the whole perspective changed. Also a major event was the earthquake, where MQM folks were one of the first responders in Muzaffarabd a lot of bridges were built then too.

    To sum up our country is not a country of Saints and pious monks anymore, Mush or any other has to deal with what is at hand. As I have said earlier as long those in power or contending for it are not driven by hate, racist rants or some screwed up ideology and learn to develop a working relationship with each other, we will be ok, otherwise say goodbye.

    As for percentages wait a few more days and after elections we will re-visit them. As per your logic last elections MMA vote will not go to MQM plus their vote bank will further shrink. So lets see how the turnout goes, how many boycott, how many show up and how many change their preference.


  24. Arshad (unregistered) on February 14th, 2008 @ 11:50 pm

    People in the forum! How many of you voted in previous electoral processes and still devoted to vote this time again on 18th Feb 2008? Specially for people speaking against MQM..


  25. Arshad (unregistered) on February 14th, 2008 @ 11:52 pm

    Alright! This one goes to:

    People in the forum! How many of you voted in previous electoral processes and still devoted to vote this time again on 18th Feb 2008? Specially for people speaking against MQM..



Terms of use | Privacy Policy | Content: Creative Commons | Site and Design © 2009 | Metroblogging ® and Metblogs ® are registered trademarks of Bode Media, Inc.