Election Watch : NA-249 / Karachi – XI
Warming up to the final ten seats of Karachi beign covered on KMB Election Watch Series we head on towards Karachi NA-249 Karachi XI. KMB Election watch has previously covered NA-239, NA-240, NA-241, NA-242, NA-243, NA-244, NA-245, NA-246, NA-247 & NA-248, the countdown has begun with 11 seats evaluated we are left with nine more, I feel the entire series is very relevant for the people of Karachi and if someone is planning to vote it may be entirely relevant for the specific voter.
The constituency comprises some important business and trading localities of the old city areas, including Kharadar, Mithadar, Boulton Market, Ranchore Lane, Dharamsiwara, Nanakwara, Napier Quarters, Ramswami and Nabi Bakhsh and Jubilee market area, Pan Mandi, and KMC stadium in Saddar Town. Some parts of Lyari Town, which include Saeedabad, Singoo Lane, Sarbazi Mohalla, Lasi Mohalla, Mundra Mohalla, Khud Basti, Bakra Piri, Allama Iqbal Colony and Usmanabad.
Jamait Ulema-e-Islam’s (JUI) Karachi chief, Shabbir Abu Talib, is contesting from NA-249, opposite Dr Farooq Sattar. Dr Sattar. JUI has negotiated an understanding with PPP and is getting full support from PPP in the National Assembly while it will in turn support the PPP candidates in both the provincial seats of PS-110 & PS-111
Till 1970s, the JUI, had been a dominating political force in the constituency. In the 1980s, ethnic polarization in the city changed the political trends in favour of the MQM, which emerged as a strong political force in the 1988 elections when Dr Farooq Sattar won the seat by securing 40,716 votes against Habib Memon of the PPP (16,028 votes). In the 1990 elections, Dr Farooq Sattar returned from here by securing 52,887 votes against the JUP chief (35,804)
However, in 1993 the PPP secured the seat after the MQM boycotted the National Assembly elections. Aziz Memon of the PPP got 23,309 votes against the PML-JUP joint candidate, Hanif Tayyab (19,439)
In the 1997 elections, Dr Farooq again returned by securing 27,711 votes against PML (N)’s Haji Mohammad Hanif Tayyab (17,333 votes). Finally in 2002 Dr. Aamir Liaqat Hussain won the seat with 30,458 votes with MMA trailing at 22,973 and PPPP at 22,708 votes
Free Poll by Blog Flux2008 Elections: Total number of Registered Voters 388,099 (215,210 Male & 172,889 Female). The three candidates fighting it out but it seems that PPP has withdrawn in favor of MMA. So technically its a faces off between MQM and MMA:
- Dr. Farooq Sattar (MQM)
- Shabbir Abu Talib (MMA)
Abdul Habib Memon (PPP)
2002 Elections: In the 2002 elections there were 250,626 Registered Voters in NA-245 of which 34.5% polled that day (86,581). The candidates were
- Amir Liaquat Hussain (MQM) – 30458
- Abdul Majeed Noorani (MMA) – 22973
- Abdul Habib Memon (PPPP) – 22708
- M. Iftikhar Qadri (Sunni Tehreek) – 7500
Prediction: Looking at the previous set of election record in 2002 showing MQM obtaining 30,000 votes and PPP and MMA each capturing 22,000 votes, one may suspect that a combined candidate of MMA and PPP should have the umpf to uproot MQM, the PPP sympatetic vote bank can be the make or break in this constituency, but I still feel simply the name of Farooq Sattar on the ballot paper will push him closer to being victorious, shortcomings can easily be avoided since MQM is the party in power. Hence the predicted winner should be Farooq Sattar of MQM. Hence my guesstimate tally is now MQM at 9 & PPP at 2 for the seats covered up till now on Karachi.