Election Watch : NA-250 / Karachi – XII
One of the most talked about election constituency is the NA-250, Karachi XII. KMB Election watch has previously covered NA-239, NA-240, NA-241, NA-242, NA-243, NA-244, NA-245, NA-246, NA-247, NA-248 & NA-249.
The NA-250 constituency has two cantonment boards — Clifton Cantonment Board and the Karachi Cantonment Board. Generally the areas of Clifton and Defence fall into this area
Since 1988 MQM has won this seat three times, PML twice and MMA once in the total of six elections held since 1988, including the by election in 2007. In 1988 an independent candidate with the backing of MQM had won after securing 48 per cent of the total votes polled. The PPP was the third with only 16pc votes. In 1990 elections the MQM secured 53 per cent votes whereas IJI bagged 26 per cent and PPP got 22 per cent. In 1993,
In 1993 PML secured 64 per cent as the MQM boycotted the NA elections. The PPP secured 20 and the Pakistan Islamic Front (PIF) had obtained 16 per cent votes. In the 1997 elections, the PML retained the seat with 52 per cent of the votes cast, and the HPG was the runners up with 41 per cent and the PPP had secured a minimal 7pc. Finally in 2002 Abdus Sattar Afghani of MMA captured the seat barely with (21,462) and leaving behind Nasreen Jalil of MQM with (19,414) with the sad demise of the Jamaat Islami leader by-elections were held in 2007 which were easily picked up by MQM.
Take the poll
Free Poll by Blog Flux2008 Elections: Total number of Registered Voters 344,657 (203,633 Male & 141,024 Female). There has been an electoral adjustment for this seat where PML-N Candidate Saleem Zia withdrew in favor of Dr. Ikhtiar Baig. The candidates fighting it out but it seems that PPP has withdrawn in favor of MMA. So technically its a faces off between MQM and MMA:
- Khush Bakht Shujaat (MQM)
- Dr. Mirza Ikhtiar Baig (PPP)
- Muhammad Farooq Bangsh (ANP)
- Haleem Siddiqui (Indp)
- Muhammad Hanif (Sunni Tehrik)
2002 Elections: In the 2002 elections there were 205,400 Registered Voters in NA-245 of which 33.7% polled that day (69,235). The candidates were
- Abdul Sattar Afghani (MMA) – 21462
- Nasreen Jalil (MQM) – 19414
- Dr. Mirza Ikhtiar Baig (PPPP) – 12105
- Mamnoon Hussain (PML-N) – 5565
Prediction: This seat remains the hot bed for electioneering, Khus Bakht Shujaat has recently joined MQM and comes into the these elections with some goodwill within this community. Dr. Ikhtiar Baig combined with the BB Sympathetic vote and the PML vote bank will not prove to be enough to surmount Khush Bkhat Shujaat and the MQM factor. Combined with the definite absence of the Jamaat Islami vote bank. Talk within circles suggest that it is possible that the JI voters might just go to vote for PPP simply to uproot MQM, but I feel that might be plausible but a long shot, not enough to impact Mrs. Shujaat and her run towards fame and fortune within the ranks of MQM leadership. Hence the predicted winner should be Khush Bakht Shujaat of MQM. Hence my guesstimate tally is now MQM at 10 & PPP at 2 for the seats covered up till now on Karachi.